By A. Trevor Thrall, Jane K. Cramer
This edited quantity addresses the difficulty of possibility inflation in American overseas coverage and family politics. The Bush administration's competitive crusade to construct public help for an invasion of Iraq reheated fears concerning the president's skill to govern the general public, and plenty of charged the management with 'threat inflation', duping the inside track media and deceptive the general public into assisting the conflict below fake pretences.
Presenting the most recent learn, those essays search to respond to the query of why possibility inflation happens and whilst it will likely be profitable. easily outlined, it's the attempt via elites to create predicament for a chance that is going past the scope and urgency that disinterested research could justify. extra greatly, the method matters how elites view threats, the political makes use of of risk inflation, the politics of danger framing between competing elites, and the way the general public translates and perceives threats through the scoop media.
The conflict with Iraq will get targeted consciousness during this quantity, besides the 'War on Terror'. even though many think that the Bush management effectively inflated the Iraq chance, there isn't a neat consensus approximately why this was once winning. via either theoretical contributions and case experiences, this ebook showcases the 4 significant causes of chance inflation -- realism, family politics, psychology, and constructivism -- and makes them confront each other without delay. the result's a richer appreciation of this crucial dynamic in US politics and international coverage, current and future.
This booklet might be of a lot pursuits to scholars folks international and nationwide defense coverage, foreign protection, strategic reviews and IR quite often.
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Extra resources for American Foreign Policy and The Politics of Fear: Threat Inflation since 9/11
Liberals, being no more consistent, shamelessly call for states’ rights here. Conservatives generally see genes as playing a large role in human behavior, but make an exception for sexual orientation, which liberals, who usually stress the role of the environment, see as fixed. In the foreign policy area, beliefs about whether a policy of “engagement” will be efficacious are almost always driven not by general beliefs about cause-and-effect relationships, but rather by how deeply the person abhors the regime in question.
Wrong beliefs may be sensible and sincere It is then tempting, but a mistake, to seek to explain correct beliefs in a way fundamentally different from the way we explain incorrect ones (Laudan 1977). Nevertheless, people are prone to associate faulty reasoning processes with incorrect beliefs even when more careful analysis would indicate that this comforting association does not hold. Given the complexity and ambiguity of our world, it is unfortunately true that beliefs for which a good deal of evidence can be mustered often turn out to be mistaken (for an application to intelligence, see Jervis 2006).
Lawrence, R. G. and Livingston, S. (2007) When the Press Fails: Political Power and the News Media from Iraq to Katrina, Chicago, IL: Chicago University Press. Chomsky, N. (1997) Media Control: The Spectacular Successes of Propaganda, New York: Seven Stories. Cramer, J. K. (2007) “Militarized patriotism: why the marketplace of ideas failed before the Iraq war,” Security Studies, 16: 489–524. Cramer, J. K. and Thrall, A. T. ” Paper presented at the 2005 meeting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL.
American Foreign Policy and The Politics of Fear: Threat Inflation since 9/11 by A. Trevor Thrall, Jane K. Cramer